| Dimension | Scoring Notes | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Study Design Updated | TRIUMPH-1 (Phase 3, n=2,339, 80 weeks, obesity without T2D) announced May 21, 2026. TRIUMPH-4 (Phase 3, obesity + knee OA, 68 weeks) reported December 2025. TRANSCEND-T2D-1 (Phase 3, T2D, 40 weeks) reported March 2026. Multiple completed Phase 3 RCTs now exist across distinct indications — meets the threshold for 25/25. Previously scored 20/25 when only the Phase 2 NEJM paper existed. |
25 / 25 |
| Sample Size Updated | TRIUMPH-1 alone enrolled 2,339 participants across four arms (4mg, 9mg, 12mg, placebo). TRIUMPH-4 and TRANSCEND-T2D-1 add further participants. Cumulative enrolled sample is now in the thousands across the Phase 3 program. 16/20 is appropriate — the full TRIUMPH program (TRIUMPH-2, -3, and the cardiovascular outcomes trial enrolling ~10,000) is still reading out, so 20/20 is premature. Previously 8/20 based on the 338-participant Phase 2. |
16 / 20 |
| Replication Updated | Multiple Lilly-run Phase 3 trials across different indications and patient populations now constitute the evidence base. This is a meaningful step up from the single Phase 2 study. However, all trials are Lilly-sponsored — no academically independent or third-party replication exists yet. Scored as single group, multiple studies: 10/20. Previously 5/20 (single study). True independent replication remains the gap; this score will move again if post-approval academic work emerges. |
10 / 20 |
| Journal Impact Factor | Phase 2 primary results published in NEJM (IF ~96) — the highest-impact journal in medicine. TRIUMPH-1 topline data released as a press announcement; full peer-reviewed publication and ADA 2026 presentation pending. Score reflects existing NEJM publication. Expected to hold or improve once Phase 3 papers are published. |
15 / 15 |
| Funding Independence | Eli Lilly funded all trials — Phase 2 and the entire TRIUMPH Phase 3 program. Trials are pre-registered on ClinicalTrials.gov and rigorously conducted, but no independent academic funding source has been identified. Unchanged from original score. |
3 / 10 |
| Population Diversity | TRIUMPH-1 enrolled adults with obesity or overweight without T2D; TRIUMPH-4 enrolled obesity + knee OA; TRANSCEND-T2D-1 enrolled T2D patients. Reasonable demographic mix across a predominantly US/global trial design. Moderate score — full diversity data not yet reported in detail from Phase 3. Unchanged from original score. |
3 / 5 |
| Researcher h-Index | Lead investigators include Ania Jastreboff (Yale, h-Index 20+) and Juan Frias — both prominent endocrinologists with strong academic profiles. Unchanged from original score. |
5 / 5 |